| The economic boom of
the 1990s is over. Or it's not over. Or the market is crashing; or at least yesterday it
was, but today it's up again. Consumer confidence is unwavering, but new home construction
is down. Dot-coms are dying, except for those new ones being launched. It can rattle anyone's cage, but if you're a small
business owner or a budding entrepreneur, it's especially unnerving. While the economy
goes sliding down a steep slope, how will you survive?
The
Economic Picture
The economy rises and falls more frequently than
a high-speed roller coaster. Consumer indexes seem to indicate that people don't believe
we're in for a recession, yet the Federal Reserve Board's actions -- reducing interest
rates -- show its concern for the near future.
"The economy has obviously slowed,"
says Nelson Braff, executive vice president of New York's Perrin,
Holdin & Davenport Capital Corp. "It doesn't matter if you call it a
recession or a slowdown. We are where we are. It's going to get worse before it gets
better."
Braff
is not sure that's a bad thing. "I had a college professor who started a class by
saying, 'The purpose of business is making money.' I thought that was obvious, but today
it's something not everyone understands. The easy availability of venture capital caused
people to lose sight of that basic principle."
Coping with a Downturn
If the economy continues to decline, returning
to that basic principle of business may mean the difference between swimming and sinking.
"You have to be better at what you do," says Braff, "and you have to be
profitable from day one, because you won't be able to count on getting investment dollars.
When you can raise money from the outside, you have the luxury of being wrong, but that
luxury doesn't apply when venture capital isn't available."
For
now, Braff believes that caution rather than panic is a good approach. "Consumer
confidence is fine, people are still working, shopping, spending money," he says.
"But now is the time to watch expenses carefully, look where your money is going. We
should always be doing that, but people are more inclined to do that when the economy is
slowing."
He notes that it will be especially hard for new
companies to get funding. "Dot-coms may disappear or simply never launch due to lack
of funding," he says. "This is actually necessary, due to the endless amounts of
money that were poured into businesses just a few years ago. The Internet was growing too
fast. It's not going to go away altogether, but businesses on the Web will have to be much
more savvy about what they're doing."
Spending
Money to Make Money
Being savvy includes the ability to know how to
spend what money the business has available, says Marcia Layton Turner, business
consultant and author of The Unofficial Guide to Starting a Small Business.
"Although the sales and marketing budget is what most companies cut first when the
economy takes a downturn, increasing the budget actually makes more sense," she says.
"Since most companies cut back, those businesses that become more aggressive can
really shine against the competition. When times are tough, advertisers may also be more
willing to negotiate and may have better promotional deals available."
Turner
agrees with Braff when it comes to monitoring expenses. "Instead of cutting areas
within the company that will make or break you, focus on reducing expenses in other areas,
such as travel. Instead of buying new equipment, rent or lease it; don't hire new
employees unless you really need them, or hire contractors and temp workers to fill in
where needed. Try to eliminate overtime to reduce labor costs."
But even more important than the tangible costs
of expenses is the drive for new business. "Even during tough times, there is still
business to be had," says Turner. "Take time everyday to contact customers about
additional needs they may have, and consider partnering with competitors to bid on larger
jobs. Anything you can do to attract new business is a smart move, because when the
economy starts to recover, you'll already be miles ahead and ready to take on additional
orders."
The
Intangibles of Survival
Both Braff and Turner point to an important
intangible factor in surviving a slow economy: customer service. "You have to be
better at your business than anyone else is," says Braff. "You have to know your
market, know your customer, know what they want and make sure they get it."
"Finding new and less expensive ways to
provide the same level of service is one way to go," says Turner. "Helping
customers better service themselves seems to be increasingly what customers want. Offering
free seminars can help answer customer questions, position the company as an expert, and
reduce expensive follow-up calls in one fell swoop -- and seminars are relatively
inexpensive to plan and orchestrate. Setting up a 900 number for service phone calls is
one strategy software companies have adopted. Customers get the answer they need, and the
company charges for it."
When
the Business Is Failing
If a business owner is watching the business
drain away, in spite of cutting costs and other similar efforts, he or she may reach a
point where looking at the bottom line in a hard, clear-eyed way is necessary. "The
key is to separate the economy from the existing business situation," says Turner.
"If the company had been doing well before rough times hit, then new marketing
strategies are needed before the owner should consider just giving up. If customers were
defecting before the economic downturn, then the economy can't really be blamed if things
get worse."
Turner
wouldn't recommend giving up without trying new strategies. "Identify potential new
markets," she says. "Consider expanding geographically to get away from the
effects of a poor local economy. Look for ways to differentiate the company and its
products or services from what the competition is doing. For example, a restaurant could
offer free delivery within a five-mile radius, or a florist could give a free mini-bouquet
to every customer who places an order. Something to generate additional interest and
confidence in the company."
But perhaps the most important thing to consider
is that the economy has always been cyclical. "The good news about the economy is
that eventually it gets better," says Turner. |